White Paper

Probability-Weighted Outcomes Under IFRS 9: A Macroeconomic Approach

Company: Moody's Analytics

Moody's Analytics case study

Category: Credit Risk

Published: 21 June 2016

Format:

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Overview

The incoming IFRS 9 regulation provides for the use of macroeconomic forecasts and probability-weighted outcomes, particularly when accounting for the impairment of financial assets. Indeed, the spirit of IFRS 9 suggests that finance officers should be more forward-looking in their recognition of credit losses on a firm’s balance sheet, with the macroeconomy often taking a central place in any impairment forecast.

This white paper explores how to develop a framework that addresses the probability-weighted aspects of IFRS 9 and answers questions about the practical use of alternative scenarios.

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